Real Murcia vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1984 |
YEC
1 - 0
MUR
25%
29%
47%
|
77 | 29 | 48 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
MUR
4 - 0
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
MUR
0 - 1
BET
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
OSA
2 - 0
MUR
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
MUR
1 - 4
ESP
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
VCF
0 - 1
BET
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
VCF
5 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
ELC
0 - 1
VCF
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
VCF
1 - 0
SEV
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1984 |
SEV
1 - 0
VCF
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |