Real Murcia vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
EIB
1 - 0
MUR
47%
29%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 1
XER
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
TER
0 - 2
MUR
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
MUR
2 - 2
PON
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CIU
1 - 3
MUR
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
LLE
2 - 3
REC
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 1
LLE
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
LLE
2 - 0
GIM
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 1
LLE
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
LLE
0 - 1
ALA
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |