Real Murcia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
MAL
1 - 0
MUR
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 0
GDE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
MUR
4 - 0
RMC
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALG
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CAD
2 - 0
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 0
ELC
38%
31%
31%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
DEP
2 - 1
RJA
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
OSA
2 - 1
RJA
76%
14%
10%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ALA
4 - 0
RJA
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
RJA
0 - 1
SAB
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |