Real Murcia vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
RCF
1 - 2
MUR
17%
25%
58%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
MUR
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
LEV
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 2
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 1
RAY
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CEL
5 - 0
UPL
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LEA
0 - 2
CEL
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 2
CEL
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 3
NOJ
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BUR
3 - 3
CEL
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |