Real Murcia vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAB
2 - 2
MUR
21%
26%
52%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 2
FCB
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
62%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
DEP
30%
29%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUR
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
GIR
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CCF
3 - 1
ALC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 1
GIM
62%
22%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
26%
30%
44%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |