Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
STL
2 - 0
MON
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
COR
3 - 1
MON
52%
21%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
VAN
4 - 0
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
HOU
14%
20%
67%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
POR
2 - 4
COR
46%
20%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
HOU
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 1
POR
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
TAC
3 - 0
POR
80%
13%
6%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
STL
3 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |