Real Monarchs vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ARI
2 - 0
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
MON
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
USA
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
RGV
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SPK
2 - 2
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
VAN
1 - 2
ORA
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
ORA
0 - 1
USA
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ORA
2 - 1
SPK
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
ARI
0 - 0
ORA
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 3
REN
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |