MLS Next Pro Normal Season Round 16

Real Monarchs vs Houston Dynamo II analysis

Real Monarchs Houston Dynamo II
56 ELO 61
5.1% Tilt -2.4%
3836º General ELO ranking 2733º
74º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Real Monarchs
25.2%
Draw
37.3%
Houston Dynamo II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
Real Monarchs
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.3%
Win probability
Houston Dynamo II
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Monarchs
+10%
-19%
Houston Dynamo II

ELO progression

Real Monarchs
Houston Dynamo II
Austin FC II
The Town FC
Minnesota United II
Portland Timbers II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Monarchs
Real Monarchs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2025
MON
Real Monarchs
2 - 1
Tacoma Defiance
TAC
20%
22%
58%
54 65 11 0
02 Jun. 2025
LAG
Ventura County
3 - 3
Real Monarchs
MON
52%
23%
25%
54 54 0 0
29 May. 2025
MON
Real Monarchs
4 - 1
Portland Timbers II
POR
43%
24%
33%
53 53 0 +1
19 May. 2025
COR
Colorado Rapids II
2 - 1
Real Monarchs
MON
57%
22%
21%
53 56 3 0
03 May. 2025
VAN
Vancouver Whitecaps II
1 - 1
Real Monarchs
MON
47%
24%
29%
53 51 2 0

Matches

Houston Dynamo II
Houston Dynamo II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2025
MIN
Minnesota United II
4 - 1
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
40%
25%
35%
62 57 5 0
08 Jun. 2025
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
1 - 1
Sporting Kansas City II
SPK
55%
23%
22%
62 50 12 0
31 May. 2025
AFC
Austin FC II
1 - 1
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
34%
26%
41%
62 56 6 0
19 May. 2025
NOT
North Texas
2 - 1
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
59%
21%
20%
63 70 7 -1
10 May. 2025
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
0 - 0
Colorado Rapids II
COR
50%
24%
25%
63 56 7 0