Real Monarchs vs Austin Aztex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
SAC
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 1
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
SEA
1 - 0
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
VAN
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Austin Aztex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
AUS
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 0
SAC
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
AUS
1 - 1
TUL
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
HOD
2 - 0
AUS
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
AUS
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |