Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
FCB
2 - 0
RMA
58%
22%
20%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
RMA
3 - 0
ZEN
88%
8%
4%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
RMA
3 - 4
SEV
60%
21%
19%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GET
3 - 1
RMA
27%
26%
48%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
BAT
0 - 1
RMA
18%
24%
59%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
ASS
2 - 2
VCF
13%
20%
68%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FCB
4 - 0
VCF
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
VCF
1 - 1
BRU
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VCF
3 - 2
BET
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |