Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
OVI
0 - 1
RMA
13%
20%
67%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
RMA
4 - 1
VAD
89%
7%
3%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
ELC
0 - 2
RMA
18%
21%
61%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
RMA
5 - 0
MAL
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
FCB
1 - 5
RMA
42%
22%
35%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
VCF
5 - 0
BET
71%
17%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
ATH
2 - 1
VCF
57%
22%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
VCF
7 - 2
MLL
78%
13%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1963 |
VCF
1 - 0
DUN
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
OSA
0 - 1
VCF
48%
23%
30%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |