Real Madrid vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
RMA
1 - 1
ALH
86%
10%
4%
|
100 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
RMA
2 - 0
RSO
80%
13%
6%
|
100 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SEV
0 - 2
RMA
11%
19%
71%
|
100 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
RMA
2 - 1
MLL
84%
11%
4%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FCB
4 - 3
RMA
50%
23%
27%
|
100 | 100 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
PAC
1 - 2
RBS
43%
23%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ALA
1 - 1
PAC
36%
25%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AME
2 - 0
PAC
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
PAC
0 - 0
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
PAC
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |