Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 13-2
Real Madrid vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.7%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
6.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
11%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12.9%
4-0
14.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
18%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11%
4.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.2%
0.9%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
RMA
2 - 1
SPO
89%
8%
3%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 2
RMA
16%
20%
64%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 3
RMA
46%
24%
30%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RMA
3 - 0
LEG
92%
7%
2%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
WAR
3 - 3
RMA
7%
15%
79%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CUL
2 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RCF
2 - 3
CUL
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CUL
3 - 0
PON
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 1
CUL
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
CUL
6 - 0
CDP
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |