Real Madrid vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.1%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.5%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RMA
1 - 2
ATM
77%
14%
8%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
RSO
4 - 2
RMA
9%
17%
75%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
RMA
2 - 0
CCF
94%
5%
1%
|
97 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
RMA
15%
18%
67%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
78%
14%
8%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GCZ
3 - 1
BAS
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 1
YOB
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 4
BAS
5%
13%
82%
|
85 | 30 | 55 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SIO
2 - 3
BAS
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
STG
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |