Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
FCP
1 - 2
RMA
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
ATH
0 - 0
RMA
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
RMA
4 - 0
VCF
87%
10%
4%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
RMA
2 - 1
FCP
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
ESP
0 - 2
RMA
28%
26%
46%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
ATM
3 - 0
VAD
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
RSO
0 - 0
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
ATM
1 - 0
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATM
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
ATM
1 - 0
BET
61%
23%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |