Real Madrid vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
RMA
4 - 0
CEL
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMA
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
RMA
2 - 0
CEL
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
REC
1 - 2
RMA
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
RMA
4 - 1
BUR
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 0
SLA
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ATM
3 - 0
RAC
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ATM
0 - 0
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |