Real Madrid C vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
MST
0 - 2
RMC
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 2
PNT
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PBO
1 - 0
RMC
16%
23%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 1
RMC
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 1
STA
68%
19%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
SFN
0 - 0
STA
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ARA
0 - 2
SFN
36%
27%
38%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SFN
4 - 1
ATM
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 2
SFN
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SFN
4 - 2
CIE
55%
24%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |