Real Jaén vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
18%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 0
RJA
41%
29%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ECI
1 - 0
RJA
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
AGD
34%
30%
37%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
UBC
0 - 0
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
DBN
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
TOM
0 - 1
ECI
33%
30%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AGD
3 - 0
TOM
59%
26%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
UBC
27%
29%
44%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 0
TOM
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
TOM
0 - 1
MAR
39%
29%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |