Real Jaén vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ELC
2 - 0
RJA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 0
DEP
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
PUE
2 - 1
RJA
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 0
OSA
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
CAS
1 - 0
RJA
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 1
MAL
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
GDE
1 - 1
MUR
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
OSA
3 - 0
MUR
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAS
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
GDE
4 - 0
MUR
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |