Real Jaén vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
ILI
1 - 2
RJA
22%
28%
50%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
RJA
0 - 1
CAL
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
MAN
1 - 2
RJA
47%
27%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
RJA
2 - 0
LIN
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
UNI
0 - 2
RJA
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 0
BEN
65%
20%
14%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ADR
0 - 1
NOV
35%
28%
37%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 1
CDB
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
ELD
0 - 0
NOV
76%
16%
9%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 0
ALC
29%
29%
43%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |