Real Jaén vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ROD
0 - 0
RJA
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDE
62%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
RJA
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RJA
2 - 0
CRD
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LIN
3 - 1
RJA
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
MAD
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAD
3 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 0
MAD
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAD
0 - 0
MEL
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |