Real Jaén vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
2º
6º
2º
31
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 7 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDE
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
RJA
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RJA
4 - 1
TOR
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALM
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDT
1 - 2
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
MOT
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HUE
5 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
HUE
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |