Tercera Division IX - Andalucía y Melilla round 19

Real Jaén vs Maracena analysis

Real Jaén Maracena
35 ELO 25
-2.6% Tilt -17.3%
4951º General ELO ranking 9610º
174º Country ELO ranking 682º
ELO win probability
71.6%
Real Jaén
16.9%
Draw
11.5%
Maracena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
Real Jaén
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.5%
Win probability
Maracena
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-41%
-24%
Maracena

ELO progression

Real Jaén
Maracena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2021
MAN
Mancha Real
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
49%
24%
27%
36 36 0 0
28 Feb. 2021
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
Loja
LOJ
68%
18%
14%
35 27 8 +1
24 Feb. 2021
HUE
Huétor Vega
0 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
50%
23%
27%
35 34 1 0
21 Feb. 2021
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
CD Torreperogil
CDT
57%
22%
22%
34 32 2 +1
07 Feb. 2021
POL
Poli Almería
2 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
25%
24%
51%
36 24 12 -2

Matches

Maracena
Maracena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2021
MAR
Maracena
1 - 1
Atletico Porcuna
ATL
47%
24%
29%
26 26 0 0
21 Feb. 2021
TOR
UDC Torredonjimeno
2 - 0
Maracena
MAR
74%
16%
11%
27 37 10 -1
14 Feb. 2021
MAR
Maracena
0 - 1
Loja
LOJ
44%
24%
33%
27 27 0 0
07 Feb. 2021
HUE
CD Huétor Tájar
2 - 1
Maracena
MAR
62%
20%
18%
28 33 5 -1
24 Jan. 2021
ALM
Almería B
3 - 3
Maracena
MAR
76%
15%
9%
28 40 12 0