Real Jaén vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 2
RJA
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
BAZ
1 - 0
RJA
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
0 - 2
MER
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LUC
3 - 1
ALG
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 2
LUC
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LUC
3 - 0
MER
23%
28%
49%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
AGU
2 - 0
LUC
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAR
27%
30%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |