Real Jaén vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
NOJ
0 - 1
RJA
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
RJA
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 1
LUC
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ECI
1 - 1
RJA
30%
31%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALB
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 1
MEL
24%
28%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 1
LOJ
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 2
ARR
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
LOJ
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOJ
1 - 0
SEV
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |