Tercera Division G4 Round 38

Real Jaén vs Ilicitano analysis

Real Jaén Ilicitano
45 ELO 37
-1.4% Tilt -16.6%
4909º General ELO ranking 3959º
165º Country ELO ranking 123º
ELO win probability
68.8%
Real Jaén
19.8%
Draw
11.4%
Ilicitano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
Real Jaén
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.4%
Win probability
Ilicitano
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-15%
+24%
Ilicitano

ELO progression

Real Jaén
Ilicitano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 1972
MUR
Real Murcia
2 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
77%
16%
7%
45 57 12 0
11 May. 1972
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 0
RC Portuense
POR
60%
24%
16%
45 46 1 0
07 May. 1972
MEL
UD Melilla
2 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
57%
26%
17%
46 44 2 -1
30 Apr. 1972
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 2
CD Badajoz
CDB
60%
23%
17%
45 43 2 +1
23 Apr. 1972
OLI
Olimpic Xátiva
1 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
47%
29%
24%
45 36 9 0

Matches

Ilicitano
Ilicitano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 1972
ELC
Ilicitano
1 - 1
Sevilla At.
SEV
59%
22%
19%
37 41 4 0
11 May. 1972
ELD
Eldense
1 - 1
Ilicitano
ELC
65%
22%
13%
37 45 8 0
07 May. 1972
REC
Recreativo
3 - 1
Ilicitano
ELC
65%
22%
13%
38 43 5 -1
30 Apr. 1972
ELC
Ilicitano
2 - 4
Real Murcia
MUR
34%
32%
34%
38 57 19 0
23 Apr. 1972
POR
RC Portuense
2 - 0
Ilicitano
ELC
60%
24%
16%
40 44 4 -2