Real Jaén vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
10.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
VIL
1 - 1
RJA
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
XER
0 - 0
RJA
53%
27%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1995 |
RJA
0 - 3
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
RJA
1 - 1
YEC
48%
28%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
CFC
1 - 2
RJA
50%
28%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
SFE
1 - 1
CPC
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
MAN
1 - 4
SFE
46%
29%
25%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
SFE
0 - 2
ALM
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
MEL
1 - 1
SFE
52%
29%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
SFE
4 - 0
MMA
52%
27%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |