Real Jaén vs Tetuán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
LIN
4 - 1
RJA
44%
22%
34%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
RJA
2 - 2
ALG
70%
16%
14%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
COR
3 - 1
RJA
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
RJA
3 - 2
RCD
50%
21%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
MAL
6 - 2
RJA
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tetuán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
CAT
3 - 3
MEL
59%
19%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
CAT
3 - 2
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
RCD
5 - 0
CAT
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
CAT
2 - 2
MAL
35%
23%
42%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAT
45%
23%
33%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |