Real Jaén vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
XER
1 - 2
RJA
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
RJA
8 - 3
CDT
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
RJA
2 - 0
SFE
77%
13%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
CAT
1 - 4
RJA
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
RJA
3 - 0
VAL
77%
14%
10%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
CAS
4 - 1
SFE
64%
18%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
CAT
5 - 1
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
CDB
2 - 4
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
CAS
1 - 0
BET
71%
17%
13%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |