Real Jaén vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RJA
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 1
CCF
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
TER
1 - 1
RJA
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 0
VAD
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
CEL
0 - 0
RJA
66%
23%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
BAR
3 - 1
OSA
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
CAS
3 - 2
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
BAR
0 - 0
GDE
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
SAB
2 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 0
OVI
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |