Real Jaén vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 0
RJA
15%
22%
63%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RJA
1 - 2
ALM
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CDT
1 - 0
RJA
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
RJA
0 - 2
HUE
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
RJA
2 - 2
TOR
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
MAN
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
POL
0 - 2
MAN
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CDT
1 - 0
MAN
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
HUE
0 - 0
MAN
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
5 - 0
HUE
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |