Real Jaén vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
39
1º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CDT
0 - 2
RJA
29%
28%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RJA
0 - 0
TOR
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HUE
0 - 1
RJA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RJA
7 - 1
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
RJA
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 2
HUE
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CHM
0 - 4
ARE
9%
16%
75%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 0
ALM
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 0
ARE
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 1
ARE
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |