Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Real Jaén vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 2
RJA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
RJA
0 - 0
UDT
62%
20%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UDT
1 - 1
RJA
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 2
RJA
23%
27%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RJA
2 - 1
JUV
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 2
RJA
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 2
ALM
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 1
MAL
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
UDT
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
ALM
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |