Tercera Division IX - Andalucía y Melilla round 3

Real Jaén vs Almería B analysis

Real Jaén Almería B
40 ELO 36
2.1% Tilt -10.5%
4934º General ELO ranking 4222º
173º Country ELO ranking 136º
ELO win probability
61.4%
Real Jaén
20.1%
Draw
18.4%
Almería B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
Real Jaén
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.4%
Win probability
Almería B
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Jaén
-32%
-2%
Almería B

ELO progression

Real Jaén
Almería B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2019
MOT
CF Motril
2 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
28%
23%
49%
41 29 12 0
25 Aug. 2019
RJA
Real Jaén
7 - 1
Melilla CD
MEL
85%
10%
5%
41 22 19 0
17 Aug. 2019
MAR
Martos CD
1 - 6
Real Jaén
RJA
19%
23%
59%
41 23 18 0
14 Aug. 2019
RJA
Real Jaén
4 - 1
CP Villarrobledo
VIL
45%
26%
30%
41 42 1 0
10 Aug. 2019
VEL
Vélez CF
2 - 3
Real Jaén
RJA
29%
26%
45%
41 33 8 0

Matches

Almería B
Almería B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2019
ALM
Almería B
4 - 0
Loja
LOJ
72%
16%
12%
36 27 9 0
24 Aug. 2019
MAR
Maracena
2 - 1
Almería B
ALM
16%
22%
63%
38 22 16 -2
10 Aug. 2019
CFC
Huércal-Overa
1 - 2
Almería B
ALM
21%
23%
57%
38 23 15 0
03 Aug. 2019
CDE
Pvo. El Ejido
1 - 2
Almería B
ALM
60%
23%
18%
38 45 7 0
19 May. 2019
ALM
Almería B
1 - 2
San Fernando CD
SAN
17%
24%
59%
38 52 14 0