Real Jaén vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
CAS
4 - 2
RJA
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
RJA
3 - 0
RCF
66%
23%
12%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 1
TER
55%
27%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
OSA
4 - 2
RJA
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
RJA
2 - 3
CAD
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ALM
3 - 0
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
GDE
1 - 0
ALM
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
ALM
2 - 1
ALG
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 4
ALM
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ALM
2 - 0
ELC
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |