Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
EXT
1 - 3
RJA
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALC
44%
28%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AGU
1 - 1
RJA
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDL
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SEV
0 - 0
RJA
52%
27%
22%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AGD
2 - 0
VVA
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ECI
2 - 1
AGD
46%
30%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AGD
2 - 0
MAL
33%
29%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 1
AGD
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
AGD
3 - 0
CER
61%
24%
16%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |