Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability

1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39.9%
Win probability

1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 Jan. 2004 |
VIL
![]() 1 - 2
![]() RJA
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
04 Jan. 2004 |
EXT
![]() 2 - 1
![]() RJA
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
21 Dec. 2003 |
RJA
![]() 2 - 0
![]() CPC
38%
28%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
14 Dec. 2003 |
PPJ
![]() 2 - 1
![]() RJA
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
07 Dec. 2003 |
RJA
![]() 1 - 0
![]() COR
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 Jan. 2004 |
AGD
![]() 1 - 0
![]() MEL
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
04 Jan. 2004 |
AGD
![]() 3 - 0
![]() JER
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
21 Dec. 2003 |
MER
![]() 1 - 0
![]() AGD
25%
30%
46%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
16 Dec. 2003 |
AGD
![]() 1 - 0
![]() ULP
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
14 Dec. 2003 |
AGD
![]() 1 - 0
![]() CDB
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |