Segunda B Round 21

Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis

Real Jaén AgD Ceuta
54 ELO 60
-18.5% Tilt -14.9%
4948º General ELO ranking 17444º
172º Country ELO ranking 5617º
ELO win probability
31.4%
Real Jaén
28.7%
Draw
39.9%
AgD Ceuta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39.9%
Win probability
AgD Ceuta
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Real Jaén
AgD Ceuta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2004
VIL
CF Villanovense
1 - 2
Real Jaén
RJA
26%
28%
46%
54 39 15 0
04 Jan. 2004
EXT
CF Extremadura
2 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
61%
23%
16%
54 60 6 0
21 Dec. 2003
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
CP Cacereño
CPC
38%
28%
35%
53 54 1 +1
14 Dec. 2003
PPJ
Pájara Playas Jandía
2 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
55%
25%
21%
54 54 0 -1
07 Dec. 2003
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
Corralejo
COR
48%
27%
25%
53 51 2 +1

Matches

AgD Ceuta
AgD Ceuta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2004
AGD
AgD Ceuta
1 - 0
UD Melilla
MEL
56%
25%
19%
60 55 5 0
04 Jan. 2004
AGD
AgD Ceuta
3 - 0
Jerez
JER
55%
26%
19%
59 53 6 +1
21 Dec. 2003
MER
Mérida UD
1 - 0
AgD Ceuta
AGD
25%
30%
46%
60 45 15 -1
16 Dec. 2003
AGD
AgD Ceuta
1 - 0
Universidad LPGC
ULP
52%
26%
23%
59 57 2 +1
14 Dec. 2003
AGD
AgD Ceuta
1 - 0
CD Badajoz
CDB
43%
27%
30%
58 60 2 +1