Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
ANT
0 - 2
RJA
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALC
59%
25%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
HOS
1 - 3
RJA
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALC
66%
22%
13%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1983 |
PUE
3 - 1
RJA
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
AGD
5 - 0
ALB
54%
27%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
BAL
4 - 0
AGD
45%
30%
25%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
AGD
2 - 2
PBL
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
CDB
0 - 0
AGD
56%
26%
19%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
AGD
2 - 0
TAL
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |