Real Jaén vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
LIN
1 - 0
RJA
45%
30%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
RJA
2 - 1
BET
58%
25%
17%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
JOV
1 - 0
RJA
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
RJA
2 - 1
CFC
36%
29%
35%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
BAL
2 - 0
RJA
49%
29%
23%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
AGD
0 - 1
SEV
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
ELD
3 - 1
AGD
48%
28%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
AGD
2 - 0
ELC
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
MUR
2 - 1
AGD
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
AGD
2 - 1
POR
67%
21%
13%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |