Real Jaén B vs CD Nerja Fundación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
RJA
4 - 0
UBE
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 0
RJA
29%
27%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 2
JOD
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MEN
2 - 1
RJA
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 0
CDT
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
NER
2 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
UBE
0 - 1
NER
15%
23%
62%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
NER
1 - 2
LIN
68%
19%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
JOD
2 - 2
NER
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
NER
1 - 2
MEN
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |