Apertura Honduras Round 4

Real España vs CD Victoria analysis

Real España CD Victoria
68 ELO 58
4.6% Tilt -0.1%
1298º General ELO ranking 1687º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69%
Real España
18.8%
Draw
12.2%
CD Victoria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
Real España
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.2%
Win probability
CD Victoria
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real España
-2%
-38%
CD Victoria

ELO progression

Real España
CD Victoria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real España
Real España
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2011
RES
Real España
1 - 1
Colorado Rapids
COR
32%
24%
44%
68 78 10 0
21 Aug. 2011
OLI
CD Olimpia
0 - 1
Real España
RES
58%
24%
18%
68 75 7 0
17 Aug. 2011
SAN
Santos Laguna
3 - 2
Real España
RES
79%
13%
7%
68 83 15 0
14 Aug. 2011
RES
Real España
2 - 2
Club Necaxa
RAY
55%
24%
21%
68 65 3 0
07 Aug. 2011
VID
CDyS Vida
1 - 1
Real España
RES
42%
26%
32%
68 65 3 0

Matches

CD Victoria
CD Victoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2011
VID
CDyS Vida
1 - 0
CD Victoria
VIC
59%
22%
19%
58 64 6 0
14 Aug. 2011
VIC
CD Victoria
0 - 2
CD Olimpia
OLI
25%
28%
47%
59 75 16 -1
07 Aug. 2011
PLA
Platense FC
2 - 1
CD Victoria
VIC
49%
25%
26%
60 61 1 -1
20 Apr. 2011
MAR
CD Marathón
3 - 0
CD Victoria
VIC
62%
22%
17%
61 70 9 -1
17 Apr. 2011
VIC
CD Victoria
1 - 2
FC Motagua
MOT
34%
27%
40%
61 70 9 0