PDL USA Round 14

Real Colorado Foxes vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis

Real Colorado Foxes Thunder Bay Chill
45 ELO 57
6.9% Tilt -2.3%
25117º General ELO ranking 25223º
283º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
29.5%
Real Colorado Foxes
25.3%
Draw
45.2%
Thunder Bay Chill

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
Real Colorado Foxes
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.2%
Win probability
Thunder Bay Chill
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Real Colorado Foxes
Thunder Bay Chill
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Colorado Foxes
Real Colorado Foxes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2011
REA
Real Colorado Foxes
0 - 0
Thunder Bay Chill
THU
29%
25%
46%
45 57 12 0
26 Jun. 2011
REA
Real Colorado Foxes
5 - 1
Manitoba
WSA
81%
13%
7%
45 23 22 0
22 Jun. 2011
KIT
Kitsap Pumas
3 - 1
Real Colorado Foxes
REA
63%
21%
17%
46 54 8 -1
15 Jun. 2011
REA
Real Colorado Foxes
5 - 0
Defenders DV8
DEF
79%
13%
8%
46 9 37 0
12 Jun. 2011
WSA
Manitoba
3 - 3
Real Colorado Foxes
REA
15%
21%
64%
46 19 27 0

Matches

Thunder Bay Chill
Thunder Bay Chill
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2011
REA
Real Colorado Foxes
0 - 0
Thunder Bay Chill
THU
29%
25%
46%
57 45 12 0
04 Jul. 2011
STL
St. Louis Lions
0 - 1
Thunder Bay Chill
THU
20%
22%
58%
57 36 21 0
03 Jul. 2011
SPR
Springfield Synergy
0 - 4
Thunder Bay Chill
THU
13%
20%
67%
57 22 35 0
19 Jun. 2011
THU
Thunder Bay Chill
1 - 0
Springfield Synergy
SPR
81%
13%
6%
57 23 34 0
18 Jun. 2011
THU
Thunder Bay Chill
1 - 0
Springfield Synergy
SPR
82%
13%
6%
56 23 33 +1