Real CD vs Olivarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
63.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 0
REA
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
REA
2 - 1
BRE
36%
22%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
TOR
42%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LIC
2 - 1
REA
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
REA
1 - 2
GEL
29%
20%
51%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olivarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
6 - 3
CAN
77%
14%
10%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 3
OLI
56%
21%
24%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUI
22%
20%
58%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
OLI
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 0
SAL
51%
20%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |