Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIL
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 4
EQU
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PER
3 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
JUN
0 - 3
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
RSC
0 - 1
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAB
2 - 1
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 2
REA
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 2
UNI
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
JUN
18%
25%
58%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |