Real Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
6º
5º
5
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 11 |
3º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 10 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 9 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 8 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 6 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 6 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 6 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 3 |
16º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
57% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 91.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
MIL
3 - 1
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
BOG
0 - 3
CAR
22%
27%
52%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 0
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 3
COR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
TFC
1 - 1
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
TOL
1 - 2
RSC
57%
23%
19%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
RSC
2 - 0
REA
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
PAT
2 - 1
RSC
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
RSC
0 - 1
JAG
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
RSC
1 - 2
HUI
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |