Real Cartagena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
TFC
1 - 2
CAR
24%
27%
49%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 5
COR
27%
24%
50%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 2
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
CHI
4 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHI
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
HUI
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
BOG
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
FOR
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 1
FOR
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LLA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |