Real Burgos CF vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Burgos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
RBU
36%
23%
40%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RBU
1 - 1
ARA
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BOS
1 - 2
RBU
15%
18%
68%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RBU
0 - 3
SAL
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MOM
1 - 4
RBU
25%
21%
55%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
CFB
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ESR
5 - 0
VIL
15%
19%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
UNA
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AVI
1 - 0
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 1
LER
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |