Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.1%
77.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 1
AVI
64%
20%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
AVI
5 - 0
SIE
29%
25%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
AVI
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
AVI
0 - 5
COV
10%
18%
73%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CLA
1 - 2
AVI
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CEL
3 - 0
LUG
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 1
LUG
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
CDT
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 0
LUG
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 0
DEP
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |