Real Avilés Industrial vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
AND
0 - 3
AVI
31%
28%
41%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
CUD
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LEA
0 - 1
AVI
39%
27%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 0
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
LUA
0 - 0
AVI
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LUA
1 - 1
RIB
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
5 - 1
LUA
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LUA
1 - 1
UPL
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CAN
2 - 1
LUA
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
LUA
0 - 0
AVI
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |