Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lagun Onak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
LON
1 - 0
AVI
13%
23%
64%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AVI
4 - 1
ROB
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 7
AVI
7%
17%
76%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AVI
4 - 0
GIN
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AST
0 - 4
AVI
8%
18%
74%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
LON
1 - 0
AVI
13%
23%
64%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CLU
0 - 0
LON
50%
26%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LON
2 - 1
CDV
35%
28%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ZAL
0 - 0
LON
46%
27%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BFC
2 - 0
LON
42%
28%
30%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |